Hilton Credit Card $15K Annual Spending Sweet Spot

Hilton Credit Card $15K Annual Spending Sweet Spot

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Hilton and American Express have a suite of four co-branded credit cards. There are pros and cons to each of them. In this post I wanted to focus on the ability to earn free night certificates with spending on the two mid-range credit cards. Is it worth spending money on these cards to earn free night awards?

Earn free night awards with Hilton credit cards

Three of Hilton’s four co-branded credit cards offer the ability to earn free night certificates on an ongoing basis:

  • The Hilton Honors American Express Aspire Card (review) has a $550 annual fee, and offers up to three free night rewards every year — receive one every year on your cardmember anniversary just for having the card (including the year you open the card), plus a second one when you spend $30,000 on the card in a calendar year, plus a third one when you spend $60,000 on the card in a calendar year
  • The Hilton Honors American Express Surpass® Card (review) has a $150 annual fee (Rates & Fees), and offers a free night reward when you spend $15,000 on the card in calendar year
  • The Hilton Honors American Express Business Card (review) has a $95 annual fee (Rates & Fees), and offers up to two free night rewards every year — receive one when you spend $15,000 on the card in a calendar year, and receive a second one when you spend $60,000 on the card in a calendar year

Note that the above cards aren’t mutually exclusive, so you could have all three of them if you wanted to. Personally I think the Hilton Aspire Card is a no-brainer, given the amazing perks it offers.

I also think there’s merit to having both the Hilton Surpass Card and Hilton Business Card (see here for a comparison of the two cards).

In this post, I wanted to specifically focus on one question — is it worth spending $15,000 per calendar year on the Hilton Honors Surpass Card or Hilton Honors Business Card to earn an annual free night reward?

The information and associated card details on this page for the Hilton Honors American Express Aspire Card has been collected independently by OMAAT and has not been reviewed or provided by the card issuer.

Redeem a free night reward at the Waldorf Astoria Maldives

Hilton Amex Card free night reward basics

Just to cover the very basics of the free night awards available on Hilton Amex cards:

Hilton Honors properties retail for up to 150,000 Hilton Honors points per night, so the value to be had is potentially huge. You could redeem these everywhere from the Waldorf Astoria Maldives, to the Waldorf Astoria Los Cabos.

Redeem a free night reward at Katara Hills Doha LXR

Factors to consider with spending $15,000

To decide if it’s worth spending $15,000 on the Hilton Honors Surpass Card or Hilton Honors Business Card, you have to decide how much you value the certificate, and also what the opportunity cost of that spending is. These cards both have bonus categories, but let’s assume that you’re just making purchases in non-bonused categories, in which case you’re earning 3x points per dollar spent.

If you spent $15,000 on either of these cards in non-bonused categories you’d receive:

  • 45,000 Hilton Honors points
  • A free night reward, valid at a hotel retailing for up to 150,000 points per night

That’s potentially a return worth up to the equivalent of 195,000 Honors points, or 14 Honors points per dollar spent. But that’s an unfair valuation. You shouldn’t be valuing the reward at 150,000 points because:

  • There are only a couple of Hilton properties that cost 150,000 points per night, while other properties generally cost a lot less
  • The reward has an expiration, so you have a limited window in which you can use it
  • In order to maximize this certificate you’d have to redeem at the most expensive hotels, which greatly reduces the flexibility in terms of where you can redeem

At most you’re earning the equivalent of 195,000 Honors points worth of value for that $15,000 of spending. That’s not a fair objective valuation, though it is possible you’ll get that much value.

Perhaps more realistic would be to apply some sort of discount to that certificate, due to the restrictions. To keep things simple, maybe we should instead say that the certificate is worth 75,000 points, which I think is a fair and conservative valuation for an “average” traveler. If your math is different, you can plug in those numbers.

This would mean your total return on that spending is the equivalent of 120,000 points, which is 8x Honors points per dollar spent. I value Honors points at ~0.5 cents each, so that’s the equivalent of a ~4% return. That’s excellent.

Redeem a free night reward at the Waldorf Astoria Los Cabos

Allocating the annual fees of Hilton Amex cards

The Hilton Honors Surpass Card and Hilton Honors Business Card both have annual fees, and it’s of course important to consider the cost of that, and how you’re going to allocate it.

In other words, are you keeping one of these cards solely to be able to earn the free night reward (in which case you have to factor in the cost), or are you getting value out of the other perks as well?

  • For the Hilton Business Card, how much does you value the Hilton Honors Gold status and 10 Priority Pass visits per year?
  • For the Hilton Surpass Card, how much do you value the Hilton Honors Gold status and up to $200 in Hilton statement credits per year?

Just to talk about the value of a couple of those points:

Do you value the Priority Pass perks on Hilton Amex cards?

In your situation, you have to decide how much of that fee you’re allocating toward that benefit.

Opportunity cost of spending

Looking at my post about the best credit cards for everyday spending:

Crunching the numbers

While I’d love to provide a direct answer of whether or not it’s worth spending money on the Hilton Honors Surpass Card or Hilton Honors Business Card to earn a free night reward, there’s no one size fits all answer.

I’d encourage everyone to do the math based on the following:

  • What your valuation of Hilton Honors points is
  • How much you value the free night reward, taking into account the restrictions
  • Whether you’d otherwise have the card or not; if you’d have the card even without this, then you don’t have to factor in the $95-150 annual fee with the math, while otherwise, you’d have to subtract the annual fee from what you perceive the value to be

To provide some generalized advice:

  • If you are just applying for this card and have to spend some amount on the card anyway to earn the bonus, then it’s definitely worth trying to spend $15,000
  • If you have this card anyway then I do think it’s most definitely worth spending $15,000 on the card per year, assuming you spend at least that much in categories that aren’t otherwise eligible for bonuses
  • If you have the card just to be able to earn the free night reward, and don’t value any of the other benefits, then I think it’s fairly close to breakeven, depending on your valuation of various things
Redeem a free night reward at the Waldorf Astoria Amsterdam

Bottom line

There are several ways to earn Hilton Honors free night awards using co-branded Amex cards. While I think having the Hilton Aspire Card is a no-brainer, it’s also possible to earn free night awards by spending $15,000 per calendar year on the Hilton Honors Surpass Card or Hilton Honors Business Card.

If you have either of these cards, I think the math checks out on spending $15,000 per calendar year on them, so that you’ll earn a minimum of 45,000 Hilton Honors points, plus a free night award, valid at a property costing up to 150,000 Hilton Honors points.

Do you think it’s worth spending $15K on the Hilton Honors Surpass Card or Hilton Honors Business Card to earn a free night reward?

The information and associated card details on this page for the Hilton Honors American Express Aspire Card has been collected independently by OMAAT and has not been reviewed or provided by the card issuer.

The following links will direct you to the rates and fees for mentioned American Express Cards. These include: The Hilton Honors American Express Business Card (Rates & Fees), and Hilton Honors American Express Surpass® Card (Rates & Fees).

Conversations (3)
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  1. Brent Guest

    I tend to agree with this. I think the 15k Surpass spend is table stakes for having that card. The status alone isn't enough unless you hit Hilton 3-5x per year to cover the AF too. For people constantly churning subs, this probably isn't a card that makes sense. But for people with lower card velocity or a reticent P2, it is a great card to hand them to use up to 15k. There are...

    I tend to agree with this. I think the 15k Surpass spend is table stakes for having that card. The status alone isn't enough unless you hit Hilton 3-5x per year to cover the AF too. For people constantly churning subs, this probably isn't a card that makes sense. But for people with lower card velocity or a reticent P2, it is a great card to hand them to use up to 15k. There are enough bonused categories to get some extra value for now work. It might even be better for that purpose than the new CFU offer for double points the first year.

  2. Ivan Guest

    Thanks for the insights and analysis it's very on point. I recently signed up for the surpass and while I won't hit 15k in spend this year I do plan to do it in 2024.

    I received a free night cert as part of the sub but staying at a high end property for one night isn't super appealing nor is spending a ton of cash to supplement my stay so a second cert...

    Thanks for the insights and analysis it's very on point. I recently signed up for the surpass and while I won't hit 15k in spend this year I do plan to do it in 2024.

    I received a free night cert as part of the sub but staying at a high end property for one night isn't super appealing nor is spending a ton of cash to supplement my stay so a second cert has a lot of value in my case. I would peg it at 100k points or $500 which is the max I would pay to stay at any hotel.

  3. Paul B Guest

    I plan on applying for the business card since it still has 10 PP visits. Hopefully, AMEX doesn’t strip away the 10 PP visits anytime soon.

Featured Comments Most helpful comments ( as chosen by the OMAAT community ).

The comments on this page have not been provided, reviewed, approved or otherwise endorsed by any advertiser, and it is not an advertiser's responsibility to ensure posts and/or questions are answered.

Brent Guest

I tend to agree with this. I think the 15k Surpass spend is table stakes for having that card. The status alone isn't enough unless you hit Hilton 3-5x per year to cover the AF too. For people constantly churning subs, this probably isn't a card that makes sense. But for people with lower card velocity or a reticent P2, it is a great card to hand them to use up to 15k. There are enough bonused categories to get some extra value for now work. It might even be better for that purpose than the new CFU offer for double points the first year.

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Ivan Guest

Thanks for the insights and analysis it's very on point. I recently signed up for the surpass and while I won't hit 15k in spend this year I do plan to do it in 2024. I received a free night cert as part of the sub but staying at a high end property for one night isn't super appealing nor is spending a ton of cash to supplement my stay so a second cert has a lot of value in my case. I would peg it at 100k points or $500 which is the max I would pay to stay at any hotel.

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Paul B Guest

I plan on applying for the business card since it still has 10 PP visits. Hopefully, AMEX doesn’t strip away the 10 PP visits anytime soon.

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